Taking Aim
To hit a target, you need the tools and know-how. The same can be said when planning for population growth – you need data and the knowledge of how to reach that goal. The latest series by Northern Policy Institute and Réseau du Nord, Taking Aim: French-Speaking Migration Targets by Mercedes Labelle is the tool for the job.
This series of papers projects how many future French-speaking and Francophone migrants should be targeted to maintain the current levels in Northern Ontario for these two groups. If Northern Ontario communities do not at least maintain the current share of French-speakers and Francophones in the core working-age population (through both migration and retention), there may not be an adequate supply of workers to provide services in French in the coming years. The Taking Aim series breaks down the needed in-migration targets on a regional basis, featuring 16 papers available in English and French.
Access the series below
City of Greater Sudbury, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Greater Sudbury, 37.8 to 38.0 percent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 10,544 to 12,391 people. On the other hand, 32.6 to 33.7 percent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 9,405 to 10,616 required inmigrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require, or benefit from, French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
City of North Bay, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in North Bay, 21.2 to 21.3 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 3,442 to 3,598 people. On the other hand, 16.4 to 16.6 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 2,690 to 2,773 required inmigrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
City of Sault Ste. Marie, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Sault Ste. Marie, 5.8 to 6.3 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 851 to 1,039 people. On the other hand, 5.2 to 5.5 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 812 to 865 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require, or benefit from, French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026
City of Thunder Bay, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Thunder Bay, 3.3 to 3.5 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 774 to 863 people. On the other hand, 3.6 to 3.7 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 875 to 901 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
City of Timmins, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that in order to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Timmins, 47.8 to 48.9 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 3,716 to 4,712 people. On the other hand, 41.1 to 41.5 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 3,231 to 3,961 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require, or benefit from, French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically-qualified people to employ into 2026.
Algoma District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Algoma, 9.3 to 9.7 per cent of future in migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 1,412 to 1,658. On the other hand, 10.0 to 10.5 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 1,592 to 1,706 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
Cochrane District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Cochrane, 57.6 to 57.8 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 5,589 to 5,766. On the other hand, 54.5 to 54.7 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 5,284 to 5,454 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
Greater Sudbury District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Greater Sudbury, 37.3 to 37.7 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 7,431 to 9,695. On the other hand, 33.4 to 35.7 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 7,119 to 8,595 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
Kenora District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Kenora, 4.0 to 4.1 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 412 to 442. On the other hand, 3.5 to 3.6 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 376 to 383 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
Manitoulin District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Manitoulin, 7.2 to 7.6 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 198 to 227. On the other hand, 3.8 to 4.1 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 107 to 120 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
Nipissing District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Nipissing, 33.2 to 33.3 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 5,135 to 5,175. On the other hand, 29.2 to 29.4 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 4,546 to 4,534 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
Parry Sound District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Parry Sound, 6.3 to 6.5 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 705 to 815. On the other hand, 3.9 to 4.0 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 447 to 489 required in-migrants.
Rainy River District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that, in order to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Rainy River, 3.0 to 3.1 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 83 to 97. On the other hand, 2.9 to 3.2 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 88 to 89 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
Sudbury District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Sudbury, 34.0 to 34.1 percent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 1,577 to 1,643. On the other hand, 28.2 to 28.5 percent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 1,320 to 1,363 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require, or benefit from, French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically-qualified people to employ into 2026.
Thunder Bay District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Thunder Bay, 4.7 to 5.1 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 933 to 1,116. On the other hand, 6.2 to 6.5 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain their current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 1,302 to 1,355 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
Timiskaming District, 2016 to 2026
When analyzing the core working-age population, this paper estimates that to maintain the 2016 proportion of French speakers in Timiskaming, 34.0 to 34.1 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be French speakers, a range of 1,552 to 1,988. On the other hand, 27.8 to 29.3 per cent of future in-migrants would need to be Francophones to maintain its current proportion of the core working-age population, which represents 1,339 to 1,619 required in-migrants. Thus, following the targets, occupations that currently require or benefit from French language skills will have a sufficient pool of linguistically qualified people to employ into 2026.
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